Are forex signals worth it?
Every signal service answers this with a testimonial. We are going to answer it with arithmetic, using our own published record of 770 closed trades since 2026-04-20 — every one of them public, wins and losses.
Whether the answer applies to you depends on things we cannot see from here. We will get to those.
The only number that matters
Win rate alone tells you nothing. A service winning 90% of the time while losing five times more on each loss than it makes on each win is a machine for destroying accounts. What matters is expectancy: the average outcome of a trade once wins and losses are weighted by how often they happen and how big they are.
Here is our full outcome mix as of 16 September 2026:
- TP1 — 22.6% of trades, averaging +17.5 pips
- TP2 — 13.9% of trades, averaging +28.4 pips
- TP3 — 12.1% of trades, averaging +46.6 pips
- Breakeven — 24.7% of trades, averaging +8.4 pips
- Stop loss — 26.8% of trades, averaging -15.7 pips
Weight each outcome by how often it occurs and the result is 11.4 pips per trade. That is the number to judge us on, and it is the number we would ask of anyone else.
Notice what it is not. It is not the 48.6% take-profit rate, and it is not the headline win rate you see quoted everywhere. It is smaller than both, and it is the only one you could build a plan on.
Four ways that number never reaches your account
Expectancy is what the signal is worth. What you get is that minus everything between the alert and your fill.
- Spread. Every trade pays it. On a pair costing 1.5 pips, a 11.4-pip expectancy is meaningfully smaller before you have done anything wrong. Tight spreads are not a detail, they are a large share of the edge.
- Late entry. These are short-timeframe setups. Entering ten minutes late is a different trade with a worse price and the same stop — you have quietly widened your risk and shrunk your reward.
- Taking some and skipping others. The expectancy above assumes every trade. Skip the ones that feel uncomfortable and you are running your own strategy with our entry prices, and its expectancy is unknown.
- Position sizing. Sizing by conviction rather than by a fixed fraction means your losses land on your big trades and your wins on your small ones. That turns a positive expectancy into a negative account.
When signals are not worth it
They are not worth it if you cannot act on them within a couple of minutes, because the entry window is genuinely short. They are not worth it if the subscription is a meaningful fraction of your account — at 11.4 pips a trade, a small account cannot outrun a large fee. And they are not worth it if you intend to override them, because then you are paying for something you are not using.
They are worth considering if you have a funded or reasonably capitalised account, tight spreads, the ability to act quickly, and the discipline to take the set as a set.
How to judge any service, including this one
- Ask for every trade, not a selection. A record you cannot audit in full is a marketing asset, not a track record.
- Ask how breakevens are counted. Folding protective exits into a win rate is standard practice and it inflates the number. Ours are separated on the dashboard.
- Ask for average win and average loss. Without both, a win rate is unreadable.
- Check the sample. 770 trades is enough to see a shape. Thirty is not.
Our full record is at teachtrades.com/results, every trade on its own permanent page. Run the arithmetic above on it yourself — that is what it is there for.